Obama Takes, McCain Maintains Lead
With the Potomac hat trick completed (Virginia, Maryland, Washington DC) for both Barack Obama and John McCain, they both move closer to becoming their party’s presidential nominee.
For John McCain the road to a primary victory seems pretty simple: a GOP candidate needs 1,191 votes to win the nomination and McCain currently has 812 (68%) with the only standing competitor being Huckabee with 217 (18%) of the delegate votes needed. John McCain better keep his eye on the ball and figure out how he’s going to beat a Democrat when Americans disapprove of the War in Iraq and want change. McCain is seen by many as “serving Bush’s 3rd term.”
Meanwhile, the Democratic competition begins to heat up. Obama has taken the lead over longtime favorite, Senator Hillary Clinton with his 1,215 to her 1,190. The Democratic candidate to earn 2,025 delegate votes will earn the nomination. And although they are neck and neck, Obama has won the last 8 primaries and caucuses and the latest Potomac victories were of a convincing fashion.
Obama seems to be pulling from the Clinton base: the only demographic lead Clinton seems to maintain is that of white women. Here are some of the demographic voting percentages Obama received based on exit polls in Virginia and Maryland:
- Obama wins 60% of overall female vote
- 66+% of male vote
- 90% of African American vote
- Obama, Clinton Split the white vote
- Obama has 6% edge on Hispanic vote
Next up?
- Next Tuesday: Wisconsin, Washington (and Hawaii Caucus for Dems)
- March 4th: Texas, Ohio, Rhode Island and Vermont. This is a HUGE day where Clinton likely must win Texas and Ohio to stay alive.
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